NFL WEEK 3 PICKS: Drama anyone? Half the games in Week 3 have a variety of a subject aim or less

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Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) at the line of scrimmage in the recreation against the Dallas Cowboys. USA Today Sports

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BILLS 2-0 at DOLPHINS 2-0

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LINE: Buffalo by 6

CHEWABLE: After the Bills turned the defending champs right into a heaping pile of roadkill in Week 1, I flippantly stated on radio that they just would possibly go undefeated this season. But was I really joking? Last week they destroyed the Titans, who have been 12-5 and one of the Top 3 groups in the AFC a yr in the past, and now they are poised to spear the Dolphins, who appear to be swimming in the proper direction. Still, it would be shocking if Buffalo came house empty-handed, and despite the precise fact that they’ve a tricky schedule the subsequent few weeks, they give the impression of being unbeatable … Bills have received the previous seven conferences. The two victories final season were by a mixed rating of 61-11, including a 35-0 whitewashing in Miami … Dolphins have some thrilling offensive pieces for Tua Tagovailoa, who leads the NFL with 739 passing yards. But with the firing of Brian Flores, there are actually questions about the team’s defence. If not at its best this Sunday, Josh Allen will devour the Fish … The previous two weeks I took Bills opponents to cowl the spread. I’m not making that mistake once more, a minimal of not right here and now.

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TAKING: BUFFALO -6

SCORE (O/U 53.5): Bills 30, Dolphins 20

BENGALS 0-2 at JETS 1-1

LINE: Cincinnati by 5

CHEWABLE: Note to Survivor Pool gamers who are struggling to make a choose on this very difficult week: The Bengals are the 17th team 0-2 or worse to be favoured by at least 3.5 points since the 1970 merger. The different 16 went 15-1 … But a ‘beware’ comes with the identical observe: Bengals went into New York in Week 8 final season, on their approach to a spot in the Super Bowl, with a 5-2 record and lost 34-31 to Mike White and the 1-5 Jets … Speaking of 1-5, that’s what the Bengals are in opposition to the spread of their past six video games in opposition to the Jets within the Apple … Home group is 8-2 ATS up to now 10 conferences … Robert Saleh is keeping “receipts” for all of the individuals who doubted Gang Green? I hope he has a warehouse.

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TAKING: CINCINNATI -5

SCORE (O/U 45): Bengals 33, Jets 14

CHIEFS 2-0 at COLTS 0-1-1

LINE: Kansas City by 5.5

CHEWABLE: If it’s September, Patrick Mahomes must be flexing his muscle tissue. The Chiefs famous person quarterback is 13-2 with 48 TD passes and three interceptions in the ninth month of the calendar 12 months. This season he has completed 73 passes for 595 yards, seven TDs and no picks whereas leading the Chiefs to a mean of 35.5 points in wins over the Cardinals and Chargers. But, as good as they’ve been, Sunday might be no cakewalk for the Chiefs. Colts are ravenous for a win and It’s wanting like Indy will get both Michael Pittman and Shaq Leonard from injury, which would be big. Colts have gained 11 of the previous 13 meetings and could very well continue their dominance over the Chiefs, however both method, the unfold is too broad.

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TAKING: INDIANAPOLIS +5.5

SCORE (O/U 49.5): Colts 31, Chiefs 30

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AND THE REST…

RAVENS 1-1 at PATRIOTS 1-1

LINE: Baltimore by 2.5

CHEWABLE: Lamar Jackson is coming off a great sport (21-of-29, 318 yards passing, three touchdowns, 9 carries for 119 yards and a TD) in Week 2’s 42-38 loss to the Dolphins, an entire collapse that saw Miami outscore Baltimore 28-3 in the fourth quarter. Be sure that defensive mastermind Bill Belichick has been thinking of ways to slow down Jackson since he left his team’s locker room after last week’s victory in Pittsburgh. The process isn’t as daunting if the quarterback’s sore elbow limits him in any respect … Ravens have left victorious from just two of their 10 visits to Foxborough. Last time they’ve gained on New England soil was the 2012 season … This is the Patriots house opener and looks like a sport that shall be determined by a last-second area goal.

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TAKING: NEW ENGLAND +2.5

SCORE (O/U 43.5): Patriots 27, Ravens 26

SAINTS 1-1 at PANTHERS 0-2

LINE: New Orleans by 3

CHEWABLE: I like the Panthers, but I’m making an attempt to resolve if it’s their uniform color scheme or the players in the jerseys. I do think that Carolina could probably be 2-0, as each losses got here on game-winning subject objectives of greater than 50 yards … Saints have won 10 of the past 13 conferences however the Panthers did break up the season sequence in 2021 by profitable 26-7 at home … New Orleans QB Jameis Winston is dealing with back/ankle problems and may have to sit one out … Christian McCaffrey has been less than Christian McCaffrey requirements in opposition to the Saints. In seven career begins he has averaged 3.15 yards per carry and scored just three touchdowns … In my crystal ball I see Andy Dalton as the Saints QB, Alvin Kamara spending another game watching from the injured list and Baker Mayfield getting that first ‘W’ as a Panther, generating a breath of aid from embattled coach Matt Rhule as he lastly picks up his 11th victory against 25 losses in Carolina.

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TAKING: CAROLINA +3

SCORE (O/U 40.5): Panthers 21, Saints 18

LIONS 1-1 at VIKINGS 1-1

LINE: Minnesota by 6

CHEWABLE: The odds are odd, should you contemplate how poorly Kirk Cousins played in Monday night’s 24-7 loss to the Eagles and the way Jared Goff rolled (256 passing yards, 4 TDs) in a 36-27 win over Washington. While Vikings are loaded with offensive weapons, Lions are taking over the persona of fiery coach Dan Campbell, who simply may flip them into the surprise group of the 12 months … Lions had lost eight straight to the Vikings earlier than they beat them 29-27 in Detroit final December. They’ve left Minnesota empty-handed their past 4 visits … Cousins has a 7-2 profession document vs. Detroit however he has probably never faced the type of strain from the Lions that can now be offered by No. 2-overall pick Aidan Hutchinson, who had three sacks final week towards Washington … From this angle, we’re seeing one other divisional game that’s going to go all the method down to the wire, however the expertise stage of the Vikings prevailing in the end.

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TAKING: DETROIT +6

SCORE (O/U 52.5): Vikings 30, Lions 27

RAIDERS 0-2 at TITANs 0-2

LINE: Las Vegas by 2

CHEWABLE: Two desperate teams that didn’t anticipate to be winless heading into the final Sunday of September and could still be elements in playoff seedings come December. Derek Carr has better targets (Davante Adams, Darren Waller) but Ryan Tannehill has behind him an ultra-elite RB coming off his worst sport (13 carries, 25 yards) in 51 begins. Derrick Henry shall be anxious to show his inabilities on Monday had more to do with an excellent Bills D than all the damage and tear on his almost-29-year-old body slowing him down … Raiders gained the last assembly, again in 2019, however earlier than that had taken three straight. With Titans T Taylor Lewan (knee) likely out (for the season?), Raiders edge rushers will have Tannehill harried and Tennessee remaining winless into October.

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TAKING: LAS VEGAS -2

SCORE (O/U 45.5): Raiders 27, Titans 17

EAGLES 2-0 at COMMANDERS 1-1

LINE: Philadelphia by 6.5

CHEWABLE: You know the storyline — Eagles dumped Carson Wentz so they could run with Jalen Hurts and now, after a misspent season in Indy, Wentz has thrown seven TD passes for Washington in the first two weeks and looks like the player who led Philly in its Super Bowl season. Problem with taking the Commanders in Carson’s Revenge Game is that Hurts has been even better and he’s serving to the Eagles trying like a contender again. If Chase Young wasn’t on the injured list, I’d in all probability like the house staff and seize the points. As is, I’ll go together with Hurts, A.J. Brown and the Philly offence to continue its dominance against these division rivals, a team it has beaten in eight of the previous 10 conferences, by taking Washington down for a third recreation in a row.

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TAKING: PHILADELPHIA -6.5

SCORE (O/U 47): Eagles 27, Commanders 20

TEXANS 0-1-1 at BEARS 1-1

LINE: Chicago by 2.5

CHEWABLE: The return of Lovie Smith to Chicago as a head coach comes with what should be another defensive battle at Soldier Field. The Bears received the previous one, 19-10, over a Niners team that’s much better than the Texans. Now if they will just order up some rain … His numbers aren’t great, however Bears fans should have less of a problem with Justin Fields’ play through two weeks than his weak attempt at apologizing to them … Bears trashed the Texans 37-6 in Chicago the earlier time these two groups met, in December of 2020. That was the only time they’ve beaten Houston within the five-game history between the groups … Bears are 19-12 ATS the week after dropping to the Packers since 1992.

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TAKING: CHICAGO -2.5

SCORE (O/U 40.5): Bears 20, Texans 17

JAGUARS 1-1 at CHARGERS 1-1

LINE: Los Angeles by 7

CHEWABLE: The unsure status of Justin Herbert (fractured rib) has already dropped the road from 10, and it may transfer all the method in which down to three if Chase Daniel ends up being the Chargers QB. That’s unlikely to occur, nonetheless, and Herbert ought to be beneath centre with the determination of getting the Chargers back on track after a decent loss to the Chiefs … Trevor Lawrence made only one mistake and was Herbert-like in last week’s 24-0 blanking of the Colts. Behind him and coach Doug Pederson, Jags are heading the right method and can challenge Detroit for the STOTY belt. But the Chargers are very good and can construct on a 9-3 record they’ve of their all-time sequence towards Jacksonville.

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TAKING: LOS ANGELES -7

SCORE (O/U 48): Chargers 24, Jags 10

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PACKERS 1-1 at BUCCANEERS 2-0

LINE: Tampa Bay by 1

CHEWABLE: More luck of the Irish for the Green (Bay Packers), who’re shaking off one other lopsided season-opening loss by first drawing the unhealthy information Bears in Week 2 and now a Bucs group steamrolled by accidents to offensive lineman and skilled offensive players — not to mention the one-game suspension of Mike Evans … If Packers T David Bakhtiari performs (and how many occasions have you ever heard those words?) it’ll give Aaron Rodgers the boost he needs in opposition to a Bucs defence that will have to decide up the injury-riddled offence … Bucs have gained the past two meetings, together with a 38-10 laugher in Tampa two years in the past, however they don’t have enough wholesome bodies to take this one … Rodgers is 26-18 ATS as an underdog, whereas Brady is 12-7 ATS as a favourite of three factors or fewer … Feeling right here is that Aaron Jones will be the best player on the field, again.

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TAKING: GREEN BAY +1

SCORE (O/U 41): Packers 26, Bucs 23

FALCONS 0-2 at SEAHAWKS 1-1

LINE: Seattle by 1

CHEWABLE: Falcons are taking part in a second consecutive highway sport on the west coast (they practiced in Seattle all week after dropping to the Rams final Sunday in Los Angeles), however is that really a bad thing? They’ve been able to focus strictly on soccer, and never have to fret about getting the youngsters off to highschool or another family duties. They’ve been in a place to bond. Oh, and they’re additionally a better team than the Seahawks, who had been juiced as much as give Russell Wilson a impolite welcome residence in Week 1 but had been then uncovered by the Niners and their “backup quarterback” in Week 2 … Kyle Pitts gets a better matchup than he had the primary two weeks, and the numbers will reflect it … Seahawks will try to grind it out on the ground, which is Pete Carroll’s favourite method of upfield transportation, they usually might need better luck this week than final, when their staff rushing yardage added as a lot as 34 yards on 14 carries.

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TAKING: ATLANTA +1

SCORE (O/U 42): Falcons 27, Seahawks 17

RAMS 1-1 at CARDINALS 1-1

LINE: Los Angeles by 3.5

CHEWABLE: Rams have received 10 of the previous 12 conferences, including six in a row in Arizona. The most up-to-date time the Cards beat the visiting Rams was Nov. 9, 2014, they usually have been visiting from St. Louis … Cards are on a high after an excellent rally last week to beat a 20-0 deficit and beat the Raiders 29-23 on an additional time fumble return for a TD … Rams rebounded from their opening evening loss in opposition to the Bills to beat Atlanta 31-27 final week, and while Sean McVay says a “win is a win,” they did let a 28-3 lead slip away … Cards are 38-28 ATS in residence games with a variety of three points or much less since 2007. This will be a detailed one too, but I’m backing the home ‘dog in a division sport virtually every time.

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TAKING: ARIZONA +3.5

SCORING (O/U 49.5): Rams 28, Cards 27

49ERS 1-1 at BRONCOS 1-1

LINE: San Francisco by 1.5

CHEWABLE: Trey Lance may have extra expertise, however the experienced and confirmed Jimmy Garoppolo provides the Niners a better probability of profitable now — especially with his buddy, George Kittle, anticipated to return from a groin damage for his first sport of the season … Broncos offence has underperformed with Russell Wilson at quarterback, however it might appear to be only a matter of time before it comes collectively. Being without Jerry Jeudy (shoulder, ribs) once more doesn’t assist … Broncos defence has given up just 26 points and two touchdowns within the first two video games, and last week stored Houston out of the tip zone … Niners will be taking half in properly after the 2022 season is done for Denver, but Broncos have gained 37-of-49 video games played at residence in the first four weeks of the season since 2000 and they’ll squeak out one other one right here.

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TAKING: DENVER -1.5

SCORE (O/U 45): Broncos 24, Niners 21

COWBOYS 1-1 at GIANTS 2-0

LINE: New York by 1

CHEWABLE: Surprise, Cooper Rush is a fairly good quarterback. At least he seemed like one in last week’s beating of Cincinnati … Dallas will get a boost with the return of WR Michael Gallup (knee) even when he is on a “pitch count”, as coach Mike McCarthy says … Cowboys are 8-2 ATS and 9-1 SU prior to now 10 conferences … Dallas is also 4-0 ATS in its last 4 highway games, 4-1 ATS in its last 5 dates in New York with the G-Men and 8-2 ATS prior to now 10 meetings between the groups total … It looks like Brian Daboll was the best selection as Giants coach and Saquon Barkley’s harm problems are behind him. But when does Daniel Jones give one away?

TAKING: DALLAS +1

SCORE (O/U 39.5): Cowboys 27, Giants 23

  • The Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers will meet for the second week in a row.

    Prime Time Pick: Expect a detailed one between two slow-starting division rivals

  • NFL WEEK 3 PICKS: Raiders lastly get off the mark against Titans

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